Mitt Romney GOP, Black Voters who may jump ship. : ThyBlackMan.com

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Mitt Romney GOP, Black Voters who may jump ship.

July 16, 2012 by  
Filed under News, Opinion, Politics, Weekly Columns

(ThyBlackMan.com)  A black Republican advocacy group wasted no time in hitting the airwaves moments after GOP presidential contender Mitt Romney addressed the NAACP convention. The group touted Mitt Romney’s alleged triumph in getting more than a few of the hostile crowd to cheer him at times. Their national radio ad taunted Obama like this:

Obama brought high black unemployment. Then he said: [President Barack Obama's voice]: Stop complaining! … Democrats have run black communities for 50 years. Plantation politics. That’s what Obama said Democrats do to poor blacks. Check it out in his book, Dreams From My Father. You voted with your heart. Now vote with your head.

The ad hit hard at Obama on the point that Mitt Romney, GOP strategists and their black GOP point persons are convinced is the issue that can touch a sensitive nerve among blacks. That’s jobs and poverty. The GOP sniffs a potentially perfect political storm with it — a stagnant economy, the chronically double-digit black joblessness, and the Obama administration’s non-explicit emphasis on the crisis. That was capped by Mitt Romney’s appearance at the NAACP convention, and Obama’s non-appearance there. Despite the hit ad and Mitt Romney’s crowing to an interviewer that there were many — unnamed, of course — blacks that supposedly told him after his convention speech  privately that they agreed with him, not Mitt Romney, GOP strategists or black Republicans in their wildest fantasy believe that they will make even a modest dent in Obama’s black support.

But they do cannily crunch the numbers and bank that even a small drop off in the percentage and number of black votes in the traditional must win states of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia that Obama won in 2008 could spell potential disaster for him. A cursory look at the numbers indeed signals potential danger. Obama got more than 65 million votes in 2008. GOP presidential rival John McCain got more than 57 million. Of the roughly 15 million eligible black voters, nearly 8 million voted for Obama. That was a surge of 2 million more black votes than in 2004. The surge was attributed exclusively to the fire and passion blacks had to elect the first black president. Obama overall got nearly 95 percent of the black vote. These nearly 8 million votes provided nearly the full total of Obama’s winning margin over McCain in the popular vote column.

Now fast forward to 2012. A drop off of even 1 to 5 percentage points in the total black vote would still put the president’s percentage total at the off-chart number of 90 percent of the black vote, but it would hurt him. This would put his raw number total loss at potentially several hundred thousand votes. This is not as inconsequential as it first seems, particularly given that the African-American votes are not scattered geographically in all states but heavily concentrated in the urban areas in the crucial Midwest and Southern swing states. In several of the states, Obama’s winning margin over McCain was in the low single digits.

While Latino and young voters will again overwhelmingly back Obama, percentage-wise, there’s no certainty that the fire and passion they showed for his campaign in 2008 is still there in 2012. Polls show that Obama decisively won the battle for centrist independents in 2008. But this year their votes are badly fractured, with even less guarantee that they will again give him major support. This could mean a significant fall off in their numbers as well. That makes a massive and impassioned turnout by black voters even more imperative for him. The GOP will do everything it can to make sure that doesn’t happen.

Mitt Romney will take every opportunity to shove the notion down the throats of black voters that Obama’s alleged failures on the economy have directly resulted in mounting economic misery in poor black communities. The appeal will be to them not too necessarily embrace Mitt Romney, but simply for them to pause and consider their misery. The shrewd gambit is to create enough doubt, hesitation and dismay among blacks, and then hope that that’s enough to stem some of the black voter floodtide to Obama.

Obama walks a narrow tight rope. He must do everything possible to keep the significant number of wavering and even bigoted white Democrats who are indifferent or outright hostile toward him from jumping ship and not voting — or worse, crossing over. This means moving gingerly on the issue of race. But at the same time he must stoke the enthusiasm level of black voters by sending constant signals that he is not taking their vote for granted, and remind them that his policies on health care, job stimulus and small business have benefited black people. And that if elected he’ll do even more to battle chronic high unemployment, failing public schools, high incarceration rates, home foreclosures and poverty facing black communities.

It’s a tall order. But one that must he must fill to insure that the GOP fails miserably in its ploy to pry some blacks away from him.

Written By Earl Ofari Hutchinson

One can find more info about Mr. Hutchinson over at the following site; TheHutchinson ReportNews.

Also feel free to connect with him through twitter; http://twitter.com/earlhutchinson

 

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Comments

6 Responses to “Mitt Romney GOP, Black Voters who may jump ship.”
  1. blue turned red says:

    Thanks to Obamacare healthcare costs have increased and employers are doing away with offering dependent coverage to an employee’s adult child regardless of age. Even colleges are no longer offering healthcare coverage to students because of increased costs associated with Obamacare.

  2. queenb says:

    As a AA woman I am disgraced with all of our leaders! Homelessness unemployment the lack of proper gun laws inadequate funds for public education inequality in corporate America,etc…. do I need to go on? People are suffering and no one seems to not care! Obama want to please all and that is impossible! Just take care of home-meaning America! Congress and Clinton signed NAFTA! That ruined our leaders and country! Every Republican that signed the addendum to reject all Obama’s policies(some of which could help middle class) should be removed from office. Destroying and dismantling our country is treason! My 24yr old daughter is on my insurance that I pay for! Thanks Mr President! Without it I would have to pay thousands that i do not have! If paid off leaders like some dems and all reps get their way? The middle class will be removed erased!

  3. independent voter says:

    Obama and the Democratic Congress promised there would be no tax hike on the miiddle class then passed Obamacare largest tax hike on the middle class, promoted class warfare, ignited race division, refused to balance the budget or pass a Jobs bill, and now Obama has unilaterally excluded the WORK provision from Clinton’s Welfare to Work Program that successfully brought poor families into middle class status. We can’t wait to vote out Obama and the Democratic Congress that have stiffened the growth of America!!!

  4. Nicholas says:

    President Obama can not get reelected without the backing of all the black voters. The way I see if is, Black voters have no other choice, but to vote for the President. Just like in 2008, voteing for Obama is just part of what needs to be done to address most of the complaints coming from concerned members of our communities. An Obama second term is a large part of the equation, but to get our problems addresed we have to do our part and give the president a Congress that is about addresing America’s problems. President Obama has not done bad at all, considering the present congress choose to obstruct every thing Obama has proposed, whether it was good for the country or not. Vote Obama, but vote in a congress that will also work for Amrica. Most importantly Vote.

  5. natalie says:

    Amen hoodgirl!!!!!

  6. hoodgirl says:

    Obama’s way of thanking the black community for their vote:

    1. Cut the DC School Voucher program his first month in office denying black children access to education in a fundamentally safe and academically sound environment to empower the black community.
    2. Gave trillions of dollars to Big Banks without any stipulation to work with homeowners to curtail foreclosures that have economically devastated the black community the most.
    3. Awarded Black Contractors the least amount “1.1 percent” of the $800 plus billion dollar Federal Stimulus Package although unemployment in the black community is the highest.
    4. Refused to meet with the NAACP to address the needs and concerns of the black community although Obama met with leaders of the Hispanic, Jewish and Asian communities to address their needs and concerns.

    Time is long overdue to abandon party loyalty to save the black community!

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