(ThyBlackMan.com) The word from GOP insiders close to presumptive GOP presidential contender Mitt Romney is that he will pick “a boring white guy” as his vice presidential running mate. That’s true for one obvious reason and another even more fundamental reason about the vice presidency. The obvious is Sarah Palin. There’s little debate that she did irreparable damage to the at-best problematic chances of GOP presidential candidate John McCain’s chances of bagging the White House in 2008. Sarah Palin was a desperate gamble by McCain to melt the frost that ultra-conservatives, and conservative Christian evangelicals had toward him, and hopefully appeal to some women voters. But Sarah Palin was the most poorly vetted, polarizing VP candidate in decades. She, yes Sarah Palin singlehandedly turned off every minority, environmental, civil liberty, and gay activist group, conservative Democrats, centrist independents, and even an array of old-line GOP establishment conservatives who broke ranks and endorsed Obama.
The irony is that in 2008 Mitt Romney would have been the one choice that would have come closest to giving McCain the ticket balance that he needed; plus the equally crucial necessity: money. He would have been a cash cow for McCain and with Obama’s phenomenal ability to jingle the campaign cash registers off the counter, this would have been a huge asset to plop on McCain’s political balance ledger. This was another fatal blow to McCain’s slender chances when Obama slaughtered him on fundraising $750 million to $450 million.
Mitt Romney won’t make that mistake. That’s why some of the names floated as potential Mitt Romney VP picks such as Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez, Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan, and even New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie would be too risky. They are either too new, too untested nationally, or too potentially polarizing. It would be Sarah Palin all over again.
The bigger reason, though, that he needs a boring white guy on his ticket is that vice presidents must do three things. They must balance the ticket, make up a real or perceived deficit that the presidential contender has, and hopefully help him win the presidency, or at the very least don’t help him lose it. Then-Democratic presidential contender Obama understood this. He picked Joe Biden because he fulfilled all three requirements: balance, experience, and most importantly, took away one of McCain’s strongest hit points against Obama — his perceived woeful lack of foreign policy credentials.
There was much pressure on and temptation for Obama to pick Hillary Clinton as his VP running mate. But she violated the rules of thumb in politics. She was a Northern, moderate Democrat, as is Obama. She was with lots of personal and political baggage. She would have piled the X Factor of gender bias to the already worrisome X Factor of racial bias on top of Obama.
Bill Clinton was the one recent exception who defied the rule of thumb on balance in picking a VP. Al Gore, like him, was a young, Southern Baptist. It worked because Clinton needed Gore to bolster his pitch that he was not another stereotypical tax-and-spend — soft on crime, weak on military and national security Democrat. This was the traditional attack point that every Republican going back to Richard Nixon in 1968 hammered their Democratic opponent on.
The vice presidential pick then has become a high stakes game in the evolution of presidential politics from an office that was for decades considering a graveyard for the politically ambitious or at best, an after-thought ceremonial title that carried no real importance or distinction.
The VP is more than just a standard dressing up of the presidential ticket. He or she must be able to actually help a presidential candidate win. There have been a few times in past elections when VPs have made a difference. Lyndon Johnson in 1960 is the textbook example of that. He brought legislative savvy, he was a Southern then still in good stead, and he could deliver two or three Deep South states. He did his job. Bush Sr. also helped Reagan in 1980. He brought experience, insider connections, and as a transplanted Southerner, the regional balance that Reagan needed. And he was moderate enough to give Reagan a little edge with moderate Republicans.
A vice president is increasingly called on to be directly involved in discussing, implementing and even helping to formulate domestic and foreign policy. The near textbook example was Biden’s blunt statement that he backs gay marriage. Though some claim that this forced Obama’s hand and even put him on the spot on a volatile, political minefield issue, Biden essentially reflected a position that for months had been much discussed, debated, and thought through in the Obama administration. The VP as is now the case in presidential politics is often right in the center of the political debate.
The 2012 presidential election will be a nail biter. But even if it was a potential runaway for either Obama or Mitt Romney, the vice presidency would still be important. Obama knew it and picked Biden. McCain missed it and picked Sarah Palin. Mitt Romney won’t miss this and will pick a boring white guy.
Written By Earl Ofari Hutchinson
One can find more info about Mr. Hutchinson over at the following site; TheHutchinson ReportNews.
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mcm ??? ?? ???? ???? http://www.n4hex.com/
Boring – yes. That’s why I’m glad there is a Kucinich/Paul ticket!
This article is a complete rewrite of history. Sarah Palin mattered for two weeks. On August 29, 2008 McCain Campaign was down 8 points in the polls. On Sept. 15th the McCain was up 4 points in those same polls. The media and the Obama Campaign was in complete panic. They had controlled everything of news concerning Sarah Palin. Lie after lie, after prejudicial statements about her family controlled their airways. On the 15th Lehman Brothers went Bankrupt and the Financial markets collapsed. Even McCain’s Campaign Manager Schmidt told McCain “Checkmate”. Palin’s accomplishments in Alaska were never brought forward for the American people to hear. The ‘Palin Effect’ was removed from the National Discourse. From there any mistake she made (minor compared to those of Biden, Obama, and McCain), was blown out of proportion, because the reality of the effect that she had, had BOTH political Parties and a National Media that was ought to destroy her. Palin’s pick if not for the Financial Collapse could have been pure genius on McCain’s part.
The fact that you call Hillary Clinton and Obama as Moderates just shows how seriously BIASED this article is. They are without exception the two most Anarchist LEFTISTS this nation has ever witnessed come to power. You call Palin the most polarizing VP candidate in Decades. REALLY? Please tell me on what issues is she polarizing with the American people. Your answers will on EXPOSE you for being on the polarizing end of these issues when it comes to the American people. Those Identity politics groups you mentioned: Mccain had no chance of bringing them in to vote for him, but it doesn’t matter because their numbers are so small they have no significance.
I’ve seen a lot of stupid things written about Sarah Palin, and the 2008 presidential race, but this ranks right up there as the absolute stupidest.
Sarah Palin was chosen to be John McCain’s running mate because, frankly, he was going nowhere in the polls, and the base of the party couldn’t stand him. Mitt Romney faces the same problem today.
McCain chose Sarah Palin because she was the best, most popular governor in the nation. She is a true reformer and a fiscal hawk. She had an unprecedented sustained approval rating in the 90s as Governor of Alaska. The media, at the time, were astounded by this.
The ONLY time McCain led Obama in the polls was after he chose Palin.
Of course, there was a HUGE effort to make her the choice. Conservatives nationwide had a “Draft Sarah Palin” effort. [I know, I was part of that effort] And Frank Aquila, a California fireman, and McCain campaign state chair, also played a huge part. He was relentless in his efforts.
As pointed out in “Today’s GOP Establishment: Real Reformers Need Not Apply”
http://thespeechatimeforchoosing.wordpress.com/2012/05/15/todays-gop-establishment-real-reformers-need-not-apply/
It was McCain and his useless campaign manager Steve Schmidt who lost against Obama, BIG TIME.
Schmidt refused to vet Obama, and stopped Palin when she started going after him. McCain actually told voters they had “nothing to fear” from Obama. Meanwhile Palin predicted EXACTLY what kind of disaster he would be.
The coup de grâce was when dumb ass McCain “suspended” his campaign and ran back to Washington to push for TARP. Something the American people didn’t want. McCain looked stupid, and allowed Obama to look in charge.
THAT cost McCain the election, not Sarah Palin.
Again, choosing Palin is the ONLY smart thing McCain has done in years.
If Palin is such a drain, why is it that in 2010 she endorsed over a 100 candidates for local, state, and national races, with most of them now holding office? This includes 4 Governors, two states Attorneys General, one Lt Governor, and a whole bunch of congresscritters. Thanks to Palin, America saw the largest political turnover since Reconstruction, after the Civil War.
Fast forward to 2012. Candidates are BEGGING for Sarah’s endorsement. It’s still the only one that matters.
So far she’s helped defeat Obama’s “favorite Republican” Dick Lugar in Indiana by backing Richard Mourdock, and last night her candidate Deb Fischer, who was almost 20 points down, and out of money a week ago, won in a blowout.
She’s endorsed Ted Cruz over the Establishment candidate David Dewhurst in Texas. Ted Cruz’s campaign reports that the phones are ringing off the wall and support pouring in after he endorsement.
Sorry, but your article and it’s conclusions are not supported by facts.
Maybe you should go learn some facts and try again. That or just quit while you are behind.